T2108 Update (January 2, 2013) – Like 2012, 2013 Begins Overbought But Trading Implications Are More Complex This Time

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Finally Challenges Downtrend Again

For the fist time in about a month, Apple (AAPL) is challenging its short-term downtrend, currently marked by the declining 50-day moving average (DMA). Over the past two trading days, AAPL has surged 7.7%. The stock had gained as much as 8.9% at today’s high. This tremendous surge maintains AAPL’s tendency to begin the week … Read more

T2108 Update (December 28, 2012) – VIX Breakout But Oversold Conditions Not Yet In Sight

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (December 27, 2012) – Volatile But Resistance Holds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

U.S. Dollar Reaches For Escape Velocity Against the Japanese Yen

Last week, I expected that heightened Fiscal Cliff fears would lead to renewed interest in buying the Japanese yen (see “Peering Over The Fiscal Cliff, The Yen Gets ‘Cheap’, Australian Dollar ‘Expensive’“). That interest turned out to be VERY temporary. As post-Christmas trading opened, the U.S. dollar surged yet again against the yen (FXY). It … Read more

How to Trade Apple’s Breakdown As Negative Sentiment Grows

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Apple’s rollout of the iPhone5 in China hit a perfect storm on Friday, December 14th. Rumors were flying about lackluster interest and a reduction in orders to suppliers. Analysts released reduced … Read more

Flurry of Trading in Molycorp Ahead of CEO Change May Finally Cement A Bottom

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It turns out that recent put buyers in Molycorp (MCP) may have had the right idea, but their bearish trade may have a very short shelf life. After hours on December … Read more

Stubborn Put Option Action Continues in Cognizant Technology

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} It is CTSH’s sixth straight positive close on strong buying volume. CTSH has closed up 9 out of the last 10 trading days. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Despite the strength on display, … Read more

First Solar’s Breakout Demonstrates the Opportunity In Utility-Scale Projects Despite On-Going Risks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For over three months, First Solar (FSLR) has benefited from a lack of bad news. When FLSR announced on August 30th that it would halt deliveries of solar panels to its … Read more

There Is Likely More To Groupon’s Bullish Turn Than Questionable Rumors

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 8, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On November 8, 2012, Groupon (GRPN) reported earnings that disappointed the market. The following day the stock fell a stomach-churning 30% to fresh all-time lows. A week later, on November 15th, … Read more