Model N – A Potential Comeback Story for 2014 And Beyond

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 23, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} MODN started publicly trading in March of this year, but it did not catch my attention until it fell a gut-wrenching 32% on September 10th after a disastrous update on … Read more

The British Pound And Euro Surge Despite Higher U.S. Rates

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield hit 3.0%, matching a high for the year. Rate are rising again across the yield curve. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve This steady … Read more

Early Signals for 2014? Major Breakouts Fade for the Euro and Pound

There were no economic reports of importance from the eurozone or from the United Kingdom to end the week. Yet, this absence did not prevent traders from sending the euro (FXE) and the British pound (FXB) into major overnight breakouts: a 25-month high for the euro and 28-month high for the pound against the U.S. … Read more

Pent-Up Demand Pushes Up Housing Market Index

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) surged to 58 from 54. The NAHB pointed to pent-up housing demand from the government shutdown as a … Read more

T2108 Update (December 24, 2013) – Overbought for the New Year? 2011 and 2012 Redux

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 20, 2013) – Upside Confirmed

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 18, 2013) – Upside Resolution Redux As Fed Rolls Out A Sample-Sized Tapering

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A One-Chart Reminder Of the Market’s Obsession With Fed Tapering and Tightening

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last Thursday (December 12, 2013), U.S. initial jobless claims came in at 368,000. This number was above “expectations” and above the on-going declining trend in the 4-week moving average. {snip} Source: … Read more

Chart Review: Tesla’s Breakout Runs Into Resistance

On November 6th, I identified a budding downtrend for Tesla (TSLA). The remaining portion of the downtrend only lasted another two weeks before a consolidation phase took over. I switched my bias from bearish to bullish at that point. A tremendous breakout on December 3rd confirmed that the primary downtrend had ended, and the 50-day … Read more

Swiss National Bank Decreases Inflation Forecast, Sees Increased Real Estate Risks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) As expected, in its December monetary policy assessment, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left its target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at 0.0 to 0.25% and reaffirmed its commitment to … Read more