T2108 Update (September 12, 2014) – Another Quiet Divergence

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Accumulate McDonald’s

On September 9, 2014, McDonald’s (MCD) produced yet another awful monthly sales report: “McDonald’s Corporation today announced that global comparable sales decreased 3.7% in August. Performance by segment was as follows: U.S. down 2.8%; Europe down 0.7%; Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa (APMEA) down 14.5%.” In the U.S. the problem is sluggish industry growth paired … Read more

T2108 Update (September 9, 2014) – Red Flags Get Brighter

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Going Beyond the January Barometer: A More Nuanced View of Monthly Versus Yearly S&P 500 Performance

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 3, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) With February providing the lift the S&P 500 (SPY) needed to reverse January’s losses, it is time to take a look once again at the January barometer. The big fear last … Read more

Hints of Bottoming for Twitter

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I last wrote about Twitter (TWTR) three months ago to conclude that the “crescendo top” in the stock was confirmed and to review the importance of sentiment in determining the fate … Read more

The Federal Reserve Uses Small-Cap, Social Media Stocks to Display Vigilance on Valuations

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 16, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On July 15th, the Federal Reserve released its latest Monetary Policy Report as a part of Chair Janet Yellen’s testimony before the Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. The … Read more

Campbell Soup: How to Identify A Post-Earnings Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Campbell Soup (CPB) experienced a nasty tumble following its November earnings report, I took a look at the stock as a potential buy for a post-earnings recovery. After reviewing the … Read more

The Apple Trading Model (Re)Explained

The Apple Trading Model (ATM) has become one of my favorite trading tools. I am writing this post to serve as a clear and comprehensive reference point when I write about it in future posts. Interested traders should bookmark this page. (As of writing, my last major AAPL post was another sentiment analysis that ended … Read more

T2108 Update (September 5, 2014) – Close Call As the S&P 500 Avoids Bearish Follow-Through

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 3, 2014) – Quick Chart Updates including Apple’s Doubly-Ominous Print

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more