Buyers Tap the Brakes As Economic Data Stall In the Crosswalk – Above the 40 (February 21, 2020)

The NADSAQ (COMPQX) lost 1.8% for a 2-week low.

AT40 = 48.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.1Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary Sellers put on a rare performance: the S&P 500 fell for two days in a row. Buyers tapped the brakes on … Read more

Peloton Extremes: A Bearish Breakdown Begins A New Trading Opportunity

It was fun while it lasted. I first made the case for buying shares in Peloton Interactive (PTON) in the wake of a flap over a strange commercial for the exercise bike and service. The stock rallied a bit from there, but a well-timed short-seller attack stopped the rebound cold in its tracks. I bought … Read more

Redfin 2020: “It’s On Like Donkey Kong”

“RedfinNow is buying homes aggressively. Our sellers’ agents are pushing hard to get more money for listing customers. And our buyers’ agents are making offers left and right, but still feel wary about how many will actually stick. It’s going to be a wild ride… RedfinNow is really scrambling to buy as many homes as … Read more

Bitcoin: A Trading Note for Breakouts, 10K and the Halving

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke out from a downtrend in late January but hit a wall at upper resistance last week.

The Price Action Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is on more media radars after breaking out above $10,000 last week. Last month, Bitcoin broke out from a downtrend in place since the last big run-up peaked in June, 2019. The $10K breakout ran into a wall from resistance formed by the high when Bitcoin suddenly spiked straight up … Read more

A Love Note to the Stock Market – Above the 40 (February 14, 2020)

AT40 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.7Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary It just got tougher to stick to my recent bearish short-term trading call on the stock market. On Friday, news went … Read more