RIO vs BHP: A Very Attractive Pairs Trade Opportunity

(This is an excerpt from a LONG overdue article on commodities I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 18, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week was a great week for a pairs trade in iron ore. I love this trade => Oil, Iron Ore & Gold Correlation: A Mining Pair … Read more

T2108 Update (April 13, 2016) – Breakout from the Slippery Slope

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (April 11, 2016) – The S&P 500 On A Slippery Slope

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (April 7, 2016) – A Close Call for Overbought Status

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Buy With Confidence: the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF Finally Breaks Out

In January of this year, I finally gave up on the near-term prospects of the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) reversing what I called “The Clinton Bash.” After a rapid cascade downward from The Clinton Bash, IBB made three attempts from November to December, 2015 to reverse those losses. Those attempts came to a crashing … Read more

LGI Homes Breaks Out on March Closings Report

LGI Homes (LGIH) has been trapped underneath its 200-day moving average (DMA) for the entire year of 2016. Earnings reports and closing reports could not re-ignite last year’s enthusiasm in the stock. Finally, the report on March closings did the trick. In response to the March closing report, LGIH soared 12.7% on almost three times … Read more

T2108 Update (April 5, 2016) – A Nervous Market Awaits More Fed Refreshments

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (March 29, 2016) – Yellen Punches the Market’s Refresh Button

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Housing Market Review – Slowing Momentum (March, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data released in February, 2016. At the time, sentiment and data ahead of the Spring selling season was not as strong as I had anticipated. The iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) has gained little since then and has even stalled out at resistance at its 200-day moving average … Read more

T2108 Update (March 23, 2016) – A Sinking Feeling

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more