ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
AT40 = 19.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – first oversold day after 19 percentage point plunge AT200 = 45.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 37.3 (115.6% increase! The largest since at least 1990) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish – oh so many caveats … Read more
AT40 = 45.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.1 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (first day of downgrade) Commentary The stock market had a weak open but a strong close. On the heels of ratcheting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 8, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost a year ago, I wrote about an interesting signal that tends to accompany a significant top in the S&P 500 (SPY) – “significant” meaning preceding a sell-off of 10% or … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) 1965 to 1967 1969 to 1971 1981 to 1984 1998 to 2000 2010 to 2012 Since 1950, these are the ONLY years where the S&P 500 (SPY) finished the month of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In June, 2012, I compared the short-term and long-term performance of the Ranger Equity Bear ETF (HDGE) against ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS). I concluded that SDS was OK for short-term bearish … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Now that the stock market seems set to continue next week’s rally thanks to the multi-billion bailout of Spain’s banks, it makes sense to consider (or review) hedges for the summer … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 69% (ending 43 days … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 83% (overbought day #11) … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 79% (overbought day #6) … Read more