Remaining Bearish On Australian Dollar As The RBA Braces For More Financial Turmoil

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In keeping interest rates at 3.50%, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issued a relatively mundane statement on monetary policy on July 3rd. This statement contained many of the same themes … Read more

Yellen’s Case for More Easing Primes Fed to Act Sooner Than Later

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip}…I decided to summarize the last two speeches from U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet L. Yellen given her strong advocacy for pro-active intervention on behalf of the U.S. economy…{snip}… I … Read more

T2108 Update (June 14, 2012) – High Stakes

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 29% VIX Status: 21.7 … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Cuts Rates Again And Gives Weak Forward Guidance

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Futures estimated a 63% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would cut rates by 50 basis points tonight, but the RBA went with the analyst consensus of a 25 … Read more

It’s Official – The RBA Is Working the Australian Dollar Lower

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It’s official – the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is trying to work the Australian dollar lower. In a surprise move, the RBA cut rates 50 basis points to 3.75%. Expectations … Read more

Austerity Under Fire: One of Several Economic Drags on the U.K. Versus the U.S.

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) As recession descends across Europe, fiscal policies have received extra scrutiny. Austerity measures have been promoted as keys for long-term economic stability but the necessary short-term pains have been understated. Without … Read more

Australian Dollar Holds Firm Ahead Of A Likely Rate Cut

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) One of my reasons for recently turning bearish on the Australian dollar (FXA) is what I see as the likelihood of additional rate cuts through the year. It seems the consensus … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Seems Biased Toward More Monetary Easing

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In its latest statement on monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) dropped more hints that it is likely biased toward further easing of monetary policy and has a preference … Read more

Bank of Japan “Fights Off” the Federal Reserve As Yen Weakens Again

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar and Japanese yen have played an up and down game of seesaw since July of last year. The USD/JPY, or the inverse of the Rydex Currency Shares Japanese … Read more

No QE3, But Federal Reserve Statement Green Lights Commodity Currencies and Gold

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In its latest monetary policy proclamation, the Federal Reserve announced that it will likely extend the window for near-zero interest rates until at least late 2014. There was no hint of … Read more