T2108 Update (August 12, 2016) – A Boring Week of All-Time Highs Belies the Revenge of Retail

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

San Jose, California Makes U.S. Housing History

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) delivered some history-making news in its quarterly Metropolitan Median Area Prices and Affordability and Housing Affordability Index for the second quarter of 2016. According to the NAR “…for the first time ever, a metro area – San Jose, California – had a median single-family home price above $1 million.” … Read more

Housing Market Review – GDP Contrasts With Relatively Healthy Housing Data (July, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in June, 2016 for May. At the time, the iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) had just reversed all its post-Brexit losses along with a sharp rebound in global financial markets. I expressed concern that ITB finally reached a top for the current cycle. The ETF instead … Read more

T2108 Update (July 8, 2016) – A Day to Be Long Almost Anything and Everything

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Housing Market Review – Three Strikes Against the West (June, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in May, 2016 for April. At the time, the iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB) was experiencing a healthy rebound on the heels of strong data on new home sales. The rally came to a quick halt and had one more small burst in early June. I … Read more