Above the 40 (February 13, 2017) – S&P 500 Follow-Through Finally Ends Bearish Divergence

AT40 Status: 66.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 Status: 69.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX Status: 11.1 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary For the first time since December, the S&P 500 (SPY) has displayed strong follow-through to a break out to fresh … Read more

Traders Return to the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three weeks ago, I was clearly premature in declaring an “ominous sentiment shift” in the Australian dollar (FXA). Since then, speculators have buckled down and returned to growing net long positions … Read more

A Potentially Ominous Sentiment Shift for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 25, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest data on speculator forex positioning showed a sudden and abrupt change in sentiment on the Australian dollar (FXA). {snip} If this sharp drop in net longs turns into net … Read more

The Australian Dollar Defies the RBA’s Easing Bias

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kicked off central bank action for August with a rate cut to a fresh record low of 1.50%. Financial markets were anticipating a cut with … Read more

Market Sentiment Still Supporting Higher Gold Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 22, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Sometimes the test of a change in sentiment is not in the pace of the new trend, but instead in the behavior after that trend first gets tested. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com … Read more