Small Caps Drove A Bullish Expansion of Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The market took just one more day to resume the momentum of expanding market breadth. An extreme October set up this bullish start to November with fresh all-time highs for major indices. While small caps as a group just missed an all-time high, the surge in small caps drove a bullish expansion … Read more

An October Extreme Sets Up A Bullish Start to the Market’s Strong Season – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) bounced back from September’s woes for a 6.9% gain for the month of October. While the gain is extreme, I am even more interested in a different October extreme. Somehow, the index managed to skate through October without a notable drawdown. The maximum drawdown in October for the … Read more

ShotSpotter: Secondary Puts Investors In A Tough Spot

ShotSpotter (SSTI) has taken investors on a wild ride since peaking in September ahead of the big market breakdown in October. The stock made an amazing recovery off the December lows and, at one point, printed a near double. Unfortunately, a secondary offering of stock, priced at $44.90, may have put the lid on the … Read more

Above the 40 (November 15, 2017) – A Stock Market That Wants to Drop

AT40 = 41.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.1 (as high as 14.5) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The narrowing rally in the stock market has officially resolved into a sell-off. The downward slide is … Read more

Above the 40 (June 9, 2017) – A Surprisingly Bullish Rotation Out of Tech Stocks

AT40 = 58.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 (volatility index) (intraday high of 12.11) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It seemed poetic. The Golden State Warriors, hailing from the tech heavy San Francisco Bay … Read more

Above the 40 (May 31, 2017) – The S&P 500 Makes A Signature Close to May Trading

AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 52.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary And just like that, the stock market made it even harder for me to keep a bullish bias on … Read more

Above the 40 (May 26, 2017) – The S&P 500 Hits More All-Time Highs Floating On Pillows of Caution

AT40 = 47.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.8 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary I should no longer be amazed, but I am still amazed: the inability of sellers to generate follow-through in … Read more