The Euro’s Latest Breakdown Takes It To the Edge of A Larger Sell-Off

On Thursday night, May 21st, I observed the daily chart of the euro (FXE) and concluded it was ready for the next swoosh downward against the U.S. dollar. I posted this opinion on Stocktwits coincidentally at the same time someone else posted the exact opposite opinion. Source: StockTwits.com As it turned out, we were both … Read more

T2108 Update (May 15, 2015) – Chopped Into Another Marginal All-Time High

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (April 23, 2015) – Almost Overbought AGAIN: The NASDAQ All-Time Closing High Edition

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Profit Opportunities In The Federal Reserve’s Spread of Rate Scenarios

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 9, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The most striking feature of the minutes for the mid-March meeting was the Federal Reserve’s very mixed feelings toward the timing for the first rate hike: {snip} There are multiple … Read more

T2108 Update (April 2, 2015) – Let the Chopfest Continue

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Trying Not to Outsmart the Dollar Trend

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 31, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote was buried in footnote #14 of Janet Yellen’s speech at a research conference called “The New Normal Monetary Policy” sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. … Read more

T2108 Update (March 26, 2015) – S&P 500 Reverses Post-Fed Gains – Waiting On Oil and Gold to Follow

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (March 18, 2015) – From Market Calm to Relief

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Short the Franc Even As Negative Rates Are Proving Insufficient to End Strength Versus the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 5, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Don’t look now, but the Swiss franc (FXF) is seemingly back for another test of the 1.20 currency floor against the euro (FXE). When the market forced the hand of the … Read more

T2108 Update (October 31, 2014) – Risk Happens Fast…Even to the Upside

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more