T2108 Update – November 30, 2011 (Very Impressive Follow-Through Despite More Red Flags)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 65% VIX Status: 28 … Read more

Chart Review: Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come

For six days, Netflix (NFLX) appeared to have printed a bottom at $125. On Thursday, NFLX broke that critical support and plunged 11% to close at a new 52-week low. In the process, the stock also tagged $110 which was a price target established by a bearish analyst at Noster Capital. Unfortunately, Thursday’s action suggests … Read more

T2108 Update – September 22, 2011 (Oversold and Over the Edge – CAT Says It All)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 18.5% VIX Status: 41 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Aggressive traders start buying. Conservative traders buy once VIX … Read more

T2108 Update – September 2, 2011 (Setback)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 24% VIX Status: 34 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Start closing out bearish positions. Otherwise hold. (See below … Read more

T2108 Update – August 19, 2011 (New Rules As We Return to the Edge of A Bear Market)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 14% (Day #12 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 43 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Only add … Read more

A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more

Amazon Buyers Step Up for the “13% Discount”

A month ago, I took issue with a UBS downgrade of Amazon (AMZN) and tried to demonstrate how this analyst action and commentary could be twisted into a blueprint for a buying opportunity. At the time, I noted that a test of the November lows on a 13% drop could produce the 8% upside potential … Read more

Amazon’s Streaming Video Will Provide Buying Opportunity By the Second Half of the Year

In “The Tech Trade,” Eric Savitz provides details on a downgrade of Amazon.com (AMZN) by UBS. The title seems quite alarming: “Amazon: Streaming Video Will Pressure Margins, UBS Warns.” After I realized UBS was taking its price target from $195 to $180, just above AMZN’s current price of $177, I wondered why this research note … Read more

Trading Momentum Quickly Shifts Back to the Bulls, But…

With tongue reaching for the cheek last week, I declared the market both extremely undervalued and very overvalued, guessing that “as earnings season grinds on, I suspect the near-predictable pattern of post-earnings fades will finally wear thin, giving way to more bullish behavior.” I did not expect the turn to happen so clearly and dramatically … Read more