T2108 Update (September 4, 2012) – Stalemate, Part 2…But Warning Signals Keep Multiplying

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (August 21, 2012) – False Breakout and a Topping Pattern

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.7% (fifth day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 16, 2012) – Pressure Released Into A Breakout, Apple On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 73.6% (second day of … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Breaks Out

The recovery from the post-earnings dip in July is officially complete for Apple (AAPL). On Monday, August 6th, AAPL broke out from a short trading range defined at the bottom by the psychologically important $600 level and at the top by the April post-earnings high. This breakout symbolizes the neutralization of whatever worries prevented buyers … Read more

Apple’s Important Macro and Forex Calls and Likely Post-Earnings Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Like all companies with extensive international presence, Apple took a hit from the strong dollar (UUP)… {snip} Apple appears to expect continued strength in the U.S. dollar as the company … Read more

Chart Review: As Expected, Apple Fills Post-Earnings Gap – Waiting Now For Bullish Breakout

Apple (AAPL) filled last week’s post-earnings gap in just four days. As discussed in “Apple’s Important Macro And Forex Calls And Likely Post-Earnings Recovery,” AAPL’s historical performance suggested a near certainty that this gap would get filled BEFORE the next earnings report. I gave a 50/50 chance on whether the gap would get filled in … Read more

Apple July Earnings Play Hinges On The Final Days

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) With an increasingly dour macro-economic backdrop, one might expect a very large response to Apple’s July earnings report {snip}… However, the trading action going into Tuesday evening’s earnings report was very … Read more

Chart Review: Back Into Puts As Yelp.com Fails to Establish New Highs

In about one month, Yelp.com (YELP) doubled from its all-time lows to a retest of its all-time highest close. Along the way, Apple (AAPL) made the following announcement on June 11th: “…local search includes information for over 100 million businesses with info cards that offer Yelp ratings, reviews, available deals and photos.” YELP did not … Read more

Chart Review: Apple FINALLY Closes At A Week High But Resistance Awaits

On Friday, Apple (AAPL) closed at its highs for the day and highs for the week. This has not happened since April 5th (holiday-shortened week) with AAPL a day away from its last all-time closing high. For about the next six weeks Apple sold off almost every day with one important post-earnings pop that delivered … Read more