Housing Market Review – Slowing Data and A Fed-Related Overhang Mute Strong Sentiment (September, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in August for July, 2016. New home sales soaring to a fresh post-recession high made the big headline even as sentiment among home builders remained essentially flatline for the year. This time around, new home sales cooled off month-over-month as builder sentiment finally showed life with a … Read more

T2108 Update (September 28, 2016) – Oil Price Manipulation Excites the Stock Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 23, 2016) – The S&P 500 Fails to Close the Deal On the Latest Bullish Case

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 21, 2016) – Volatility Plunges As the Stock Market Eagerly Celebrates Fed Tentativeness

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Setting Up the Next Pairs for Tesla Motors Versus Solar City

A little over two weeks ago I made the case for implementing a pairs trade on Tesla Motors (TSLA) long versus Solar City (SCTY) short. What unfolded from there rolled out according to my first scenario: SCTY continuing to sell-off and TSLA outperforming. Indeed, TSLA’s outperformance has returned to the all-time high level set earlier … Read more