Stock Buyers Snapped Back But Failed to Crack An Important Downtrend – Above the 40 (April 23, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The week began with two straight days of selling for the stock market. Almost everything was in place for a real pullback. Although the S&P 500 (SPY) was less than 2% off its all-time high, my favorite measure of breadth in the stock market, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above … Read more

From Growth Tantrum to Growing Complacency for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (April 16, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The growth tantrum is almost a distant memory. Complacency is more the order of the day as the volatility index sinks further below 20 and the S&P 500 (SPY) hops and skips through all-time highs. Big cap tech is popular again. These stocks are helping to drag both the S&P 500 and … Read more

As the Growth Tantrum Calms, the Stock Market Extends Bullish Signals – Above the 40 (April 1, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary All March long the stock market wrestled with inflation fears. After the S&P 500 (SPY) successfully rallied away from its 50-day moving average (DMA) (red line in the chart below) in early March, I recognized signs that the stock market’s churn was a sign of digestion of these fears. Yet, so-called growth … Read more

Sharp Rebound in Stocks Flashed Signs of Refreshed Bullishness – Above the 40 (March 25, 2021)

AT40 (T2108) sharply rebounded off a 5-month intraday low.

Stock Market Commentary After today’s open, the rolling interruption to the reopen trade started to look like the beginning of a real pullback. Sellers got about 90 minutes to enjoy the pressure before buyers took control. The back and forth between selling pressure and buying relief has taken a toll on a swath of the … Read more

A Rolling Interruption for the Stock Market’s Reopen Trade – Above the 40 (March 23, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary After writing the last Above the 40 post, I thought the market would soon force me off the fence and onto the bullish side of the pasture. Even with post-Fed churn in play, the market looked like it was digesting inflation fears pretty well. Instead, a rolling interruption for the stock market’s … Read more