T2108 Update – July 15, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 55%. VIX Status: 19.5. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 nudged upward to 54% from 51%. As I guessed yesterday, the oversold stochastics on the S&P 500 were … Read more

T2108 Update – July 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 51%. VIX Status: 21. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped to 51% from 61%. My favorite technical indicator spent the previous three days bouncing in a tight … Read more

T2108 Update – July 11, 2011 (Bearish Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 58%, overbought period ended at 5 days. VIX Status: 18. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold – if no shorts were opened during the overbought period, fade any rally tomorrow … Read more

The British Pound’s “Quiet” Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost a month ago, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House, and I wrote afterward that the … Read more

T2108 Update – July 8, 2011 (Attack of the Topping Patterns!)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 74%, 5th overbought day. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Continue closing bullish trades (longs), add to bearish trades on a close below 1333 on the S&P 500 … Read more

How to Play Research In Motion’s Imminent Buyback

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) If you followed anything I have written about Research In Motion (RIMM), you know that the company may begin its latest massive share buyback as early as Monday, July 11. RIMM will buy up to … Read more

T2108 Update – July 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 78% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close “almost all” bullish trades (longs), accelerate bearish trades (shorts). Caveats noted below… Commentary T2108 hit 78% today for … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Finally Breaks Its Downtrend

Apple (AAPL) initially failed a critical technical test at the 200-day moving average (DMA) and even made a new low for 2011, but the stock’s under-performance has finally ended. AAPL has gained over 10% since its 2011 low June 20th. The majority of the gains have come on just 4 days with strong bursts of … Read more

T2108 Update – July 5, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary Today was a strange day. The S&P 500 … Read more