Pairs Trade: Cisco Systems Is Catching Up to Juniper Networks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Cisco Systems (CSCO) has steadily declined since reaching a peak in April, 2010. For much of this time, analysts and commentators seemed to focus on company-specific problems as the blame. It seemed competitor Juniper Networks … Read more

T2108 Update – September 19, 2011 (Euro-bounce ends)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 37% VIX Status: 33 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 is nearly unchanged from the last … Read more

Chart Review: Best Buy’s Potential Bottom Firms Up

Almost a month ago, I made the case for buying some Best Buy (BBY) stock as it retested its 2009 lows. BBY proceeded to rally 5%, break to marginal new lows in early September, break those lows on an intraday basis after reporting apparently disappointing earnings, and now a fresh rally. The post-earnings rally has … Read more

Chart Review: Netflix Breaks Down

On Thursday, September 15, investors and traders dumped Netflix (NFLX) on news that the company will lose 600,000 subscribers this quarter compared to the previous quarter. In 12 years, NFLX has now suffered a quarter-over-quarter loss in subscribers only twice. This occurrence represents a 2.4% reduction in customers. (For more details see AP story “Higher … Read more

T2108 Update – September 15, 2011 (Euro-bounce Continues)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 38% VIX Status: 32 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 closed at 38%. It has not … Read more

T2108 Update – September 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 30% VIX Status: 35 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 jumped almost 5 percentage points to … Read more

Chart Review: Nikkei Breaks Post-Fukushima Closing Low, CBOE Breaks Out

This chart review pairs an ugly chart with a blooming one. Japan’s Nikkei stock market index made very little additional progress after the sharp and rapid bounce from the March lows marked a crescendo of panic over the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear catastrophe. On five separate days, the Nikkei survived tests of the closing lows from … Read more

T2108 Update – September 12, 2011 (Another Brush with Oversold Territory)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 22% VIX Status: 39 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary The stats above are the exact same … Read more

A Relief Rally for the U.S. Dollar As “Safe” Alternatives Get Expensive

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a whole month before the dollar finally launched into the relief rally I thought would soon follow the S&P’s downgrade of U.S. government debt. Even after the Swiss franc’s rein as a “safety” … Read more

T2108 Update – September 9, 2011 (Clinging to the Bounce)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 22% VIX Status: 39 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold (more details below). Commentary There is nothing like … Read more