No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}…The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the … Read more

T2108 Update – August 12, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 13% (Day #7 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 36 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Only add … Read more

The S&P 500 Breaks March, 2009 Lows When Priced In Gold

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Apparently, the Federal Reserve cannot print money quite fast enough. On Monday, August 8, the S&P 500 priced in terms of gold finally broke the March, 2009 lows. Source: stockcharts.com (Note that the ratio of … Read more

T2108 Update – August 11, 2011 (Major Relief Part 2)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 11% (Day #6 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 39. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Only add … Read more

T2108 Update – August 10, 2011 (A Bullish Divergence)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 9.6% (Day #5 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 43 (2nd highest close of oversold period). … Read more

Chart Review: Cisco Hits 8 1/2 Year Lows (And Juniper Is In Hot Pursuit)

Anytime after the March, 2009 lows, if you had asked me which stock or stocks would break those lows within the next three years, Cisco (CSCO) would have been one of the furthest names from my mind. And yet, Tuesday (Aug 9), CSCO closed just 2% above its closing and intraday March, 2009 low. When … Read more

T2108 Update – August 9, 2011 (Finally Some Relief)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 7.5% (Day #4 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 38. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Finish building … Read more

T2108 Update – August 8, 2011 (Stay In the Game)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 6.5% (Day #3 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 48. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

T2108 Update – August 5, 2011 (Review of strategies for trading oversold markets)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 11% (Day #2 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 32. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

RIM Still Struggles to Bottom As New BlackBerry Smartphones Finally Arrive

(Click here for archived articles on RIMM) Research in Motion (RIMM) has been able to buy back its shares under the current repurchase authority since July 11. The stock opened up that day and proceeded to close down 3.2%. The stock has drifted down 16.6% since then. During this time, I identified a technical pattern … Read more