T2108 Update – March 5, 2012 (The Anti-Climactic End Of An Historic Overbought Period)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 69% (ending 43 days … Read more

What’s Next and Lessons Learned After the Success of Amazon.com’s Post-Earnings Trade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Congratulations to everyone who took on the post-earnings trade on Amazon.com (AMZN). Hopefully, you have locked in your profits by now given the 2-week timeframe for the trade. It is now … Read more

Gold Enthusiam Is Waning Again Despite Surging Before Gold’s Recent Peak

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 4, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Right after I last updated the gold enthusiasm index last July, gold went near parabolic and peaked in about two months. In that post, I wrote that enthusiasm for gold continued … Read more

T2108 Update – March 2, 2012 (The Plunge That Ends This Historic Overbought Period?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71% (overbought day #42) … Read more

Chart Review: Breakout Confirmed for Goldman Sachs

Every now and then I see a chart that undermines my expectation for an imminent pullback in the general market. This time, Goldman Sachs (GS) delivered the reluctant surprise. Today, the stock surged 5.2% to fresh 6-month highs. Source: FreeStockCharts.com This is what I had to say about GS in late January during a comprehensive … Read more

T2108 Update – February 29, 2012 (Rare Follow-Through to Bearish Signals)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 75% (overbought day #40) … Read more

Betting the Breakout In the British Pound Will Not Last

On Tuesday (February 28), the British pound finally broke out against the U.S. dollar with a resounding surge above its 200-day moving average (200DMA). The struggle to break this resistance lasted the entire month of February. Despite this technical breakthrough, I remain skeptical that the British pound will deliver much follow-through before faltering again. Indeed, … Read more

T2108 Update – February 28, 2012 (Bearish Divergences)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 80% (overbought day #39) … Read more

Chart Review: Everyone Has A Whole Apple Again – Bearish Reversal Invalidated

February 15 was a day noted around the world: Apple (AAPL) made a major bearish reversal that even non-technicians could appreciate for its fury. Here is the chart I produced on that fateful day: The tremendous surge in trading volume was a 13-month high and followed the S&P 500 down for the day – adding … Read more