Bullish Traders On IMAX Options Run Into Bad News

Interpreting the trading volume in options is typically difficult (I did an analysis in three parts last year). But I am most fascinated when a herd of speculators get caught leaning in the very wrong direction. This is what happened with IMAX. Schaeffer’s Research reported on heavy, bullish activity in the trading of IMAX options … Read more

First Solar Sinks Upon Release of Its Annual Report

The first rate pain continues with First Solar (FSLR). At the time of posting, First Solar has dropped over 4% (to $108) in after hours trading upon the release of its 2009 annual report. No doubt the seventeen pages describing risk factors contributed to the latest reason to sell First Solar shares. These morbid details … Read more

The Power of An Oversold Market

The S&P 500 is now over 4% off the lows from oversold conditions. 40% of this entire move came on today’s surge as the dollar plunged over 1% versus the euro. The thrills occurred DESPITE poor news flow from the Greek sovereign debt drama: for example, imminent strikes to protest austerity measures and German hesitancy … Read more

The Market May Have Topped For Now But Here Comes the Next Buying Opportunity

The inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and the stock market has snapped back into play with a vengeance since the 15-month closing highs for the S&P 500 set on January 19th. On that day, the dollar index rose for a second day, forming what was to become the bottom of a small pullback in … Read more

Cintas anticipates a “a slow and lengthy” jobs recovery

While unemployment seems to have crested, the outlook for jobs growth is as dark as ever. Cintas (CTAS), a maker of work uniforms, reported disappointing earnings yesterday evening and provided a dour outlook on the jobs market: “We anticipate that when job recovery does occur, it will be a slow and lengthy process. In addition, … Read more

RIMM Goes “All In” With Share Repurchase Program

Last night, Research In Motion (RIMM) released an earnings report that exceeded analyst expectations, produced strong guidance, and was well-received by the market. I took particular interest in RIMM’s share repurchase activity. RIMM used $775M to purchase 12.3M shares at an average price of $63 per share (full details noted in Seeking Alpha’s transcripts of … Read more

Market Sentiment Indicators Remain Mixed

“Mish” posted the latest chart from the Investor’s Intelligence Survey, and it shows that bulls are back up to 50% and bears have hit a new low for the year at 16%. (You can directly access two years of data using the chart tool at Schaeffer’s Investment Research). He also noted that bears have only … Read more

RIMM’s Weakness Persists Despite Initiation of Share Buyback

The weakness in the shares of Research In Motion (RIMM) persists despite the company’s apparent initiation of its share buyback program on November 9, 2009. Two weeks ago, I used intra-day trading action to suggest that RIMM launched its share buyback program. Overall daily volume surged for three days along with price. The stock then … Read more

Goldman Sachs Stock Chart Takes An Ominous Turn

Goldman Sachs (GS) has been a bellwether stock since the November lows. GS displayed relative strength when its March lows remained around 50% higher than the November lows. Since then, GS has followed a strong, upward trendline that led the general stock market before hitting its most recent peak in October. However, in November, the … Read more