Black Friday 2013: A Likely Last Stand for Bears for the Year

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Black Friday in the U.S. is the day after Thanksgiving when shoppers descend upon stores scrambling to find bargains for Christmas gifts. For some reason, the stock market also opens for … Read more

T2108 Update (November 18, 2013) – A Tantalizing Pause Ahead of 2013’s “Last Stand” for Bears

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 3, 2013) – Support Weakening?

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Flat Summer for the First Time in 21 Years Balances Bears Versus Bulls

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The summer of 2013 delivered a flat performance for the S&P 500 (SPY). The S&P 500 closed at 1,630.74 on May 31st. The 1,632.97 close on August 29th ended the summer … Read more

Daily S&P 500 Trading: Monday Under-performance, Tuesday Out-performance And Other Patterns

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 16, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Wednesday, May 15, the venerable Art Cashin on CNBC offered his observations on the strange consistency in the Tuesday trade since the S&P 500 (SPY) printed its low in 2012. … Read more

May 2013 Was Fine As Expected; Now Brace for Summer Volatility

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Average, median, frequency, and context. These are all measures to take into consideration when assessing the odds of an event and its potential impact. It is something almost always lost in … Read more

T2108 Update (July 19, 2013) – A Key Juncture As the Market Creeps Toward Overbought; Google and Apple Earnings Technicals

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (March 18, 2013) – A Quick Review of the History of All-Time Highs

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

A Historic Black Friday Trade Continues Down Its Bullish Path

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) One hundred and two (102) calendar days and counting and the S&P 500 (SPY) still has yet to reverse all the gains from last year’s Black Friday rally. {snip} These 102 … Read more

With A Rate Decision Looming, Weakening Australian Dollar Sends Poor Signal for Stocks

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) While all eyes are trained on U.S. economic data this week, Australians are looking ahead to Monday, February 4th when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) makes its next statement on … Read more