There Is Likely More To Groupon’s Bullish Turn Than Questionable Rumors

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 8, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On November 8, 2012, Groupon (GRPN) reported earnings that disappointed the market. The following day the stock fell a stomach-churning 30% to fresh all-time lows. A week later, on November 15th, … Read more

Amazon Post-Earnings Trade Ends Negatively But Stock Remains Bullish

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Amazon.com post-earnings trade ended down for this final quarter of the year. It was a rare miss that included some important moves in the stock. The chart below shows the … Read more

T2108 Update (December 13, 2012) – QE3 Resistance Holds Firm; Facebook Poised To Soar Anew

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Amazon.com Reports First Net Loss In Nine Years, So Buy the Stock Of Course!

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “If Amazon were an ordinary company, investors would long ago have strapped its management to a rocket ship and sent it far, far away.” From “Amazon and Its Admirers Shrug Off … Read more

Lessons Learned From Earnings Trades For Google and Chipotle

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Google (GOOG) GOOG was a stock that had a lot of momentum off the summer lows although it still trailed the NASDAQ (QQQ) year-to-date. Ironically, GOOG finally caught up to … Read more

Icahn Lights A Fire of Hope Under Netflix

Suddenly, I have to take an acquisition of Netflix (NFLX) a little more seriously. At the end of October, iconic deal shaker and maker Carl Icahn disclosed an almost 10% stake of 5,541,066 shares in Netflix (NFLX), indicating HE thinks NFLX is deal-making material. From the filing under “Purpose of Transaction”: “The Reporting Persons acquired … Read more

Chart Review Update: Netflix Surge Closes Post-Earnings Gap Down

Just last week, I noted how Netflix (NFLX) neatly confirmed a bearish abandoned baby top with another earnings implosion. However, I did not discuss in more detail the implications of the stock’s strong bounce from its lows on the day although I tweeted about it. The following day, NFLX had a strong day marginally closing … Read more

Chart Review: Breakdowns for Cisco, Starbucks, Monster, priceline.com, Netflix, and Bed, Bath, and Beyond

Earnings season is creating its usual spectacle of fascinating charts. Here is a sample of the ones catching my eye right now: Breakdowns Cisco Systems (CSCO) On August 16th, CSCO jumped 9.6% in response to a positive earnings report. CSCO has yet to make any progress since then. On Wednesday, the stock confirmed its breakdown … Read more

Google’s Pre-Earnings Mystery At $800

Google (GOOG) reports earnings tonight (October 18th). I ran out of time for running my “earnings trade template,” but I wanted to take a few minutes to post some interesting observations on GOOG options. These may become good references for the next round of earnings. (See “Chipotle Bears Ready For Another Poor Earnings Performance But … Read more

T2108 Update (October 3, 2012) – Bearish Divergence With A Caveat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more