Above the 40 (November 15, 2017) – A Stock Market That Wants to Drop

AT40 = 41.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.1 (as high as 14.5) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The narrowing rally in the stock market has officially resolved into a sell-off. The downward slide is … Read more

Above the 40 (November 10, 2017) – A Flash Resolution to Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 48.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It was by the slimmest of margins, but the S&P 500 (SPY) finally ended a week with a loss. After 8 … Read more

A Silence Lifted: ShotSpotter Soars On A Change of Heart In Congress

Almost two months ago I wrote about the strong earnings profile and prospects of ShotSpotter (SSTI), a gunfire detection and location technology company. At the time, I noted that President Trump’s threat of “fire and fury” aimed at North Korea seemed to drown out the news. Today, in the wake of a horrible tragedy of … Read more

Above the 40 (August 25, 2017) – No Follow-Through for the S&P 500’s Reflex Bounce

AT40 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) is suddenly struggling at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The big reflex bounce from Tuesday, August 22nd has … Read more

Lost in the Fire and Fury – Promising Earnings from ShotSpotter

As North Korean President Kim Jung Un and U.S. President Donald Trump shot barbs and threats at each other – threats which included Trump’s promises of fire and fury and perhaps more – ShotSpotter (SSTI), a gunfire detection and location technology company, reported earnings. I think the promising results were lost in the crossfire and … Read more

Above the 40 (August 3, 2017) – The S&P 500 Makes Another Bearish Divergence With A Fresh Twist

AT40 = 49.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Here we go again. Last week, the S&P 500 slipped but did not fall off the edge. In my … Read more

Above the 40 (June 23, 2017) – The S&P 500 Watches the NASDAQ Position for A Recovery

AT40 = 54.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.0 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Last week, the NASDAQ snatched the baton from the S&P 500 (SPY) and now looks poised to resume its … Read more

From One Market Pullback to the Next, Strong Stocks Persist

Before the sell-off from Trump Turmoil, there was the sell-off ahead of the Easter weekend that looked weighty enough to deliver an extended breakdown below the 50-day moving average (DMA) for the S&P 500 (SPY). Buyers came storming back after that weekend. Out of curiosity, I used SwingTradeBot.com to identify the strongest stocks of the … Read more

Above the 40 (May 16, 2017) – Stock Market Drag

AT40 = 48.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (downgrade from bullish) Commentary Time to downgrade my bullishness to “cautiously bullish.” While the S&P 500 (SPY) made a new … Read more

Awful Offerings Confirmed: Acacia Communications and Twilio

A little over six months ago, I made a bearish case for Acacia Communications (ACIA) and Twilio (TWLO) based on the way each company rolled out follow-on stock offerings and the market’s reactions to the selling. Since then, ACIA and TWLO have fully lived up to bearish expectations. ACIA is down 55.1% from its offering … Read more