Canadian Dollar Extends Weakness As the Bank of Canada Sounds Fresh Alarms

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com The Bank of Canada was consistent with the change of tone from late October’s downgrade of the Canadian economy. In particular, inflation retreated further away from target: {snip} … Read more

British Pound Breaks Out As GDP Further Confirms Momentum of UK Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Third quarter GDP for the United Kingdom grew 1.5% year-over-year and 0.8% quarter-over-quarter. These numbers met economist “expectations,” yet the British pound soared in response anyway. This rally is important as … Read more

Governor Stevens Delivers: Australian Dollar Intervention “Remains Part of the Toolkit”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) As I noted earlier this week, I was eagerly anticipating the release of the minutes from the last policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and a speech by … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

Canadian GDP Surprise Not Likely to Change Outlook

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, Statistics Canada reported year-over-year GDP growth of 2.0% for August, 2013 which beat analyst expectations of 1.7%. This growth translated into a 0.3% month-over-month increase. July delivered 0.6% growth … Read more

The Reserve Bank of Australia Stays Passive On the Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In today’s statement on monetary policy (Nov 5, 2013 in Australia), the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) offered up its usual menu of economic observations. As usual, my main interest turned … Read more

The Federal Reserve Leaves No Catalyst for A Dollar Breakdown…or Breakout

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar (UUP) sold off steadily going into Wednesday’s (October 30, 2013) statement from the Federal Reserve on monetary policy. It has been a slow yet relatively steady grind lower … Read more

Governor Stevens Goes Back On the “Attack” Against the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} And with that Governor Stevens went back on “attack” on the Australian dollar (FXA). This is the exact jawboning I had been expecting earlier to replace the RBA’s surprising omission … Read more

T2108 Update (October 29, 2013) – Extended Overbought Rally Looming Larger

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more