Is A New Storm Finally Brewing for the Australian Dollar?

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 24, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) “But lest there be any uncertainty about this, let me be clear, again, that the exchange rate remains high by historical standards…we think that investors are underestimating the likelihood of a … Read more

Australian Dollar Healthcheck: An Extended Period of Weakness Remains Ahead

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} RBA Governor Glenn Stevens found a clever way to imply that the decline in the Australian dollar (FXA) still has a ways to go. First, he implied that the terms … Read more

Stevens Passes On Jawboning the Australian Dollar and Sticks to A Familiar Script

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 27, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) has been incredibly resilient in recent weeks. Weak economic data from China and concerns about excessive debt in the Chinese economy have barely dented the recent momentum. … Read more

Governor Stevens Delivers: Australian Dollar Intervention “Remains Part of the Toolkit”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) As I noted earlier this week, I was eagerly anticipating the release of the minutes from the last policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and a speech by … Read more

Governor Stevens Goes Back On the “Attack” Against the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} And with that Governor Stevens went back on “attack” on the Australian dollar (FXA). This is the exact jawboning I had been expecting earlier to replace the RBA’s surprising omission … Read more

Market Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar’s Latest Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ordinarily, I would have called Wednesday’s (July 10, 2013) close on the S&P 500 (SPY) a stalemate that potentially signals a reversal in fortunes for the index. The flat close occurred … Read more

Governor Stevens Hints At Sustained Lower Levels for Rates, Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The market is finally listening for every little cue from Glenn Stevens, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and he is taking full advantage of it to help … Read more