A Strong Canadian GDP Report Ignored: A Contrarian Opportunity in the Making

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Once again, traders overlooked another strong economic report from Canada. This time the strong report came in the form of GDP growth. The distracting event was a tremendous plunge in oil … Read more

A Second Extremely Strong Month for Canadian Jobs Chases Away My Bearish Bias

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Suddenly, prospects for the Canadian dollar (FXC) are presumably improving with unemployment making a dramatic turnaround over the last two months. September’s good news was drowned out by October’s sharp sell-off … Read more

No Positive Catalyst for the Canadian Dollar from the Bank of Canada

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 27, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Wednesday’s terrorist attack in Canada disrupted life in Ottawa on the same day the country’s central bank was scheduled to hold a press conference to discuss its latest monetary policy decision. … Read more

Lost in the Market Angst: A Dramatic Improvement in Canadian Employment

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 12, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Suddenly, I am feeling a lot less bearish about the Canadian dollar (FXC). {snip} This means that half the job creation over the past year happened all in one month. What … Read more

The Canadian Dollar Hangs in the Balance Between Weak Jobs Growth and Strong High-End Housing Demand

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Employment picture remains lackluster On Friday, Statistics Canada painted another disappointing jobs picture for the country. Instead of the 20,000 additional jobs expected by the “consensus” for June, the Canadian economy … Read more

Forex Positioning Update: Short Euro, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, Long Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) There was a lot of action last week in the foreign exchange market. This piece is a quick update on how I have adjusted and/or maintained positioning in select currencies: the … Read more

Poor Wholesale Sales Deliver An Excuse to Sell the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since reaching an inflation-adjusted high (at the time) in May, 2012, Canada’s wholesale sales have been relatively stagnant except a one-month surge the following May that beat the high (I used … Read more

The Bank of Canada Welcomes A Weaker Currency And A Bullish U.S. Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 3, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On January 22, 2014, the Bank of Canada left its target overnight interest rate at 1%. However, the Canadian dollar (FXC) slid quickly against the U.S. dollar anyway as the currency … Read more

Canada’s Poor Year of Employment Should Pressure Bank of Canada and Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 12, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It looks like the Bank of Canada was indeed setting the groundwork for easing monetary policy when it sounded fresh alarms about the Canadian economy last year. The extremely weak employment … Read more

Canadian Dollar Extends Weakness As the Bank of Canada Sounds Fresh Alarms

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com The Bank of Canada was consistent with the change of tone from late October’s downgrade of the Canadian economy. In particular, inflation retreated further away from target: {snip} … Read more