A Triple Whammy Against the Canadian Dollar Spells Opportunity

triple whammy (Credit: peet-astn on Flickr https://flic.kr/p/2mHZyy5)

After Canada experienced a hot inflation print for the month of August (the Consumer Price Index (CPI)), I aggressively declared the Canadian dollar a buy, long Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC) and short USD/CAD. I ignored the technicals of support at an upward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line below) on USD/CAD … Read more

An Oversold Dilemma for the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

oversold dilemma (Credit: Google Workspace Labs, AI-generated)

Stock Market Commentary It was an unfavorable day in the stock market, as I anticipated in “Small Cap Stocks Uncork Oversold Conditions.” The following post is a summarized transcript of a “show and tell” video I posted to talk through the accumulating extremes in this oversold market. I used ChatGPT to help with the clean-up. … Read more

Small Cap Stocks Uncork Oversold Conditions – The Market Breadth

uncork (Source; Google Workspace Labs, AI-generated)

Stock Market Commentary The last quarter of the year and the third of the stock market’s most dangerous months started off with a swirl of signals. Each of the three major indices exhibited its own behavior. Small cap stocks plunged and uncorked oversold trading conditions. The S&P 500 clung to flatline. The NASDAQ happily shot … Read more

Oversold and Over Hard – The Market Breadth

oversold and over hard (Credit: Google Workspace Labs AI-generated image)

Stock Market Commentary Oversold trading conditions await no more. The stock market went over hard and dropped into oversold territory with a sinking feeling. Important support levels broke down, interest rates continued to surge, the U.S. dollar continued to race higher, and, returning to a theatre near you for yet another dreadful showing is Groundhog … Read more

Jackson Hole Redux: Stock Indices Are Back Where They Started – The Market Breadth

Jackson Hole redux (Credit: Welcome to Jackson Hole Sign by Latham Jenkins on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary The annual Jackson Hole confab of central bankers starts this coming Thursday. Almost like technical poetry, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ are back to the highs directly preceding Jackson Hole 2022. Depending on your perspective, this Jackson Hole redux either represents a bullish confirmation of the market’s resilience after 18 months … Read more