ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 26% and neutral (note that since the March, 2009 lows, T2108 has frequently hit bottom around 30%). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 popped to 26% on a … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and “almost” oversold. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Add more small long positions. Commentary T2108 dropped to 21%, right on the edge of the official 20% oversold … Read more
The recent trading action in Molycorp (MCP) has deeply disappointed MCP bulls. The stock has gone from a bullish technical setup to today’s oversold conditions in the space of two weeks. Inserted into this sell-off was MCP’s move to get a stock offering and convertible deal done. The announcement created a tremendous overhang on the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Start adding small long positions. Commentary As I suspected, yesterday’s oversold bounce was short-lived. The selling today was strong, persistent, … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) It only took two days for Molycorp (MCP) to officially roll out the pricing of its secondary share offering and convertible notes. MCP indicated these deals were “subject to market conditions”, and market conditions may … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% or below. Commentary Today’s obligatory bounce from … Read more
On May 15, 2006, I wrote a piece called “Evidence of A Tiring Bull.” I used T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages (DMAs), to make the strong claim that the three-year old bull market was nearing an end. T2107 had been in decline for two years, and I projected the … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 29% and Neutral (oversold based on history since March, 2009). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) First, Molycorp (MCP) looked poised for a rally. Soon after that, the technicals turned, indicating pressure was building for a big move. I hedged, but I remained bullish. Last night, MCP made two financial announcements … Read more