If Gold Is Going Higher On Fear, It Is Fear of Greenspan

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} …if fear is running rampant in the gold trade, it is not fear of a recession, depression, etc… Instead, it is the fear of former chairman Alan Greenspan – better yet, it is the … Read more

T2108 Update – August 8, 2011 (Stay In the Game)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 6.5% (Day #3 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 48. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

links for 2011-08-08

Capitulation? Market Looks For Signs Selloff is Done – CNBC Money market funds over the past week have seen $70 billion in redemptions, the largest since the pivotal collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2009, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data. Stocks funds saw $11.2 billion in outflows, with long-only funds losing $6.5 … Read more

“Commodities Crash” Triggers First Trades – ANR and EWZ

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In July, I used ideas from Jeremy Grantham to lay out a case for taking advantage of a coming “commodities crash” to invest in and prepare for a future resource-constrained world: “Preparing for Profits in … Read more

S&P Downgrade of U.S. Debt Sets Up A Potential Dollar Relief Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Nouriel Roubini thinks the S&P downgrade could help lock the U.S. into a recession and Christina Romer wants to “swing for the fences” and respond with a massive jobs bill – Bloomberg Video: “Roubini, Rosner, … Read more

Flowserve Loses All Its QE2-Inspired Gains

Late August has become a benchmark for the success of the Federal Reserve’s last money-printing campaign given at that time Chairman Ben Bernanke first floated the suggestion that another round of quantitative easing (QE2) was on its way (see speech at Jackson Hole, WY, August 27, 2010). I am also using this date as a … Read more

T2108 Update – August 5, 2011 (Review of strategies for trading oversold markets)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 11% (Day #2 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 32. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

RIM Still Struggles to Bottom As New BlackBerry Smartphones Finally Arrive

(Click here for archived articles on RIMM) Research in Motion (RIMM) has been able to buy back its shares under the current repurchase authority since July 11. The stock opened up that day and proceeded to close down 3.2%. The stock has drifted down 16.6% since then. During this time, I identified a technical pattern … Read more

T2108 Update – August 4, 2011 (Extremely Oversold, Longer-Term Bearish Signal Confirmed)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 13%. VIX Status: 32 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most bearish positions. Start building bullish positions. Commentary If you have spent the last nine months feeling like you missed … Read more