T2108 Update – March 22, 2012 (Maintaining Bullish Bias Even As Bearish Case Grows)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 49% VIX Status: 15.6% … Read more

Chart Review: Will Buyers Step Up One More Time As FXI Breaks Down Again?

Two weeks ago, the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) broke down below its 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs) just 5-6 weeks after an important breakout above these MAs. Buyers seemed to treat this as an opportunity to get into FXI before the breakout move resumed. Over the past two days, FXI has … Read more

T2108 Update – March 20, 2012 (Near-term Upside Potential Is Increasing?!?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 59% VIX Status: 15.6% … Read more

From Silicon Valley to Florida – Two Extremes In A Recovering Housing Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I still believe that a bottom is coming for housing in 2013. Some areas of the country, like the Silicon Valley area of Northern California, have already left a bottom far … Read more

Nassim Taleb Likes Euros And You Should Too

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In November, 2010, Nassim Taleb (Mr. Black Swan) broke a long-standing media blackout to talk on CNBC about his distress over quantitative easing Part two (QE2). At the time, Taleb concluded … Read more

T2108 Update – March 19, 2012 (Still Not Overbought)

{3/21 – changed title and link to fix incorrect date and naming format} (T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review: Time Running Out For Trading the Australian Dollar Against the British Pound?

The GBP/AUD currency pair – the British pound versus the Australian dollar – combined the best of two worlds for me: my bearishness on the British pound and my bullishness on the Australian dollar. Even though I ended my love affair with the Australian dollar almost two weeks ago, I continue to enjoy trading the … Read more

Famous Market Technician Gary Smith Uses T2108 Out of Context

I used to follow Gary Smith during the aftermath of the dot-com, tech bubble crash. I always thought of him as a master technician in the stock market. His pieces were only occasionally made available for free through the TheStreet.com and then, after a few years, he “vanished.” I believe he went off to do … Read more

T2108 Update – March 16, 2012 (A Successful Change In Strategy)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 63% VIX Status: 14.5% … Read more