T2108 Update (July 31, 2013) – Potential Consolidation As the S&P 500 Waits Out Growing Negatives

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

ATM: The Apple Trading Model Formalized

I finally took some time to further formalize the Apple Trading Model (ATM). To-date, I have described this in extensive detail showing Apple’s (AAPL) daily trading patterns and post-earnings trading patterns. I took these lessons (updated periodically in other posts) and created a very simple dataset as a foundation for running a regression tree (a … Read more

T2108 Update (July 26, 2013) – Still Not Overbought Yet

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Amazon.com Returns to Typical Post-Earnings Behavior

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Amazon.com’s (AMZN) last three earnings cycles were quite challenging for the AMZN post-earnings trade. As a reminder, the AMZN post-earnings strategy is simply to buy the post-earnings open and hold for … Read more

Word from Lancaster, CA: This Recovery Is For Real

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Something special must be happening in Lancaster, California, a small town of 155,000 people about 70 miles north of Los Angeles. After finding a thriving land development project in Lancaster, American … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2013) – Market Almost Overbought; A Quick Review of the Apple Earnings Play

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Herbalife On the Edge of Breakout As Short Squeeze Still Awaits

Harbalife (HLF) is on the verge of a major breakout. The stock gained another 2.5% on Friday to close at $55.80, just below the intraday high from July 31, 2012. The charts below show over a year’s worth of trading. The next chart zooms in a little so that you can read the notes I … Read more

T2108 Update (July 19, 2013) – A Key Juncture As the Market Creeps Toward Overbought; Google and Apple Earnings Technicals

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more