A Cocoa Surprise: Prices Spring Back to Life

In commodities, the time to get bullish is usually when prices are pressuring the industry and sentiment is persistently and deeply negative. The time to get bearish is usually when prices are skyrocketing, industry participants are celebrating wondrous fortunes, and sentiment is as euphoric as can be. Since I am long-term bullish on cocoa, I … Read more

Above the 40 (April 16, 2018) – The Stock Market’s Unseen Bullish Breakout Awaiting Confirmation

AT40 = 55.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The buyers went right back to work after bears engulfed the end of trading last week. The indices crept higher on the … Read more

Above the 40 (April 13, 2018) – The Bears Engulf An Otherwise Uplifting Week for the Stock Market

AT40 = 45.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 44.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.4 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) gained 2.0% for the week. Yet the week felt like a loser given the way it ended. The … Read more

U.S. Concrete: An Attractively Priced Bet On A Strong U.S. Economy – (Another Interview with CEO Bill Sandbrook)

Two weeks ago I expressed concern about the poor performance of the materials sector. The sector was under-performing the general market which seemed particularly ominous given the generally strong outlook for the economy. At the time, I expressed my hope that another interview with Bill Sandbrook, CEO of U.S. Concrete (USCR), would clear the air … Read more

Longfin: The Bizarre Crypto-Stock Story That Reached Astounding Extremes

Source: CNBC Ever since LongFin Corp. (LFIN) soared astronomically four days into its stint as a publicly traded company, I have been fascinated by the story. At the time I covered the story, I wrote: “The trading in recent IPO LongFin Corp. (LFIN) may go down as iconic in this era of frenetic trading in … Read more