ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Gold, and by extension the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), has had a rough year. However, based on a historic flip in speculative positioning in gold futures, a bottom is likely in for GLD. According to the tweet and chart below, the net speculative positioning in gold recently went net negative for the first time in … Read more
Last year, 2017, featured an incredibly low number of days with big price moves for the S&P 500 (SPY). In particular, there were only eight (8), days when the S&P 500 gained at least 1% or lost 1% or more (for ease of explanation I will call this concept “days with at least 1% changes”). … Read more
AT40 = 55.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The recovery from the February swoon has been full of nearly predictable bounces: whether it was oversold trading conditions or support at … Read more
AT40 = 47.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary I typically consider the market stretched to the downside when AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving … Read more
Nielsen NV (NLSN) crashed to new all-time lows at the same time Facebook (FB) ran into its own historic post-earnings buzzsaw. At the time, I noted NLSN’s bad news about the business of monetizing user data was seemingly overshadowed by Facebook’s woes. NLSN’s operational difficulties seemed to warn investors to brace for more weakness ahead. … Read more