T2108 Update – October 20, 2011 (Beware the Swiss Franc)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 56% VIX Status: 35 … Read more

T2108 Update – October 3, 2011 (Bring on the Bear)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 15% (1st day of oversold conditions) VIX Status: 45 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Oversold trading rules have … Read more

Buying Opportunity Brewing for Gold and Silver As Dollar Picks Up Steam

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above … Read more

A Relief Rally for the U.S. Dollar As “Safe” Alternatives Get Expensive

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a whole month before the dollar finally launched into the relief rally I thought would soon follow the S&P’s downgrade of U.S. government debt. Even after the Swiss franc’s rein as a “safety” … Read more

No Relief Rally, but the Dollar Squeaks By the Pound and Franc

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}…The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the … Read more

If Gold Is Going Higher On Fear, It Is Fear of Greenspan

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} …if fear is running rampant in the gold trade, it is not fear of a recession, depression, etc… Instead, it is the fear of former chairman Alan Greenspan – better yet, it is the … Read more

S&P Downgrade of U.S. Debt Sets Up A Potential Dollar Relief Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Nouriel Roubini thinks the S&P downgrade could help lock the U.S. into a recession and Christina Romer wants to “swing for the fences” and respond with a massive jobs bill – Bloomberg Video: “Roubini, Rosner, … Read more

The British Pound’s “Quiet” Sell-Off Continues Nearly Unabated

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost a month ago, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House, and I wrote afterward that the … Read more

Governor King Still Gives Me Plenty of Reason for Remaining Bearish on the Pound

On June 15, Bank of England Governor Mervyn King spoke at the Lord Mayor’s Banquet for Bankers and Merchants of the City of London at the Mansion House. The speech covered very familiar themes for King and the Bank of England. King first acknowledged the squeeze on the economy in the United Kingdom: “The challenge … Read more

T2108 Update – June 15, 2011 (Market Officially Oversold)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 20% and oversold General (Short-term) Trading Call: Cover more shorts, add more longs Commentary T2108 plummeted to oversold territory. The indicator closed right at 20%. Since the March, 2009 … Read more