Talk of QE3 Increases As the Dollar Rises – Time to Reposition

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Mainly thanks to a plunging euro (FXE), the U.S. dollar index (UUP) now sits at 52-weeks highs set in January, 2011. When the Federal Reserve telegraphed its second round of quantitative … Read more

T2108 Update – January 10, 2012 (On the edge of a breakout)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 79% (overbought day #6) … Read more

Australian Dollar Ends Year Flat, Maintaining Close Correlation With S&P 500

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) At the end of 2010, the Australian dollar closed at an all-time high against the U.S. dollar; the Aussie gained 14% and yielded 4.75% (for more details see “The Australian Dollar … Read more

Gold Breaks Down Even As Global Monetary Policies Ease

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 16, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Eventually, the broken clocks calling for another massive sell-off in gold could be right. I sure hope so. I need to add to my current holdings at cheaper prices. The latest … Read more

How to Play the Devaluation of the Swiss Franc

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 5, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss are getting impatient with their stubbornly strong currency. Ever since establishing a peg to the euro and a floor at 1.20 for EUR/CHF two months ago, the euro has … Read more

Global Economic Pressures Continue to Push the Dollar Reluctantly Higher

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 27, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar’s role as a “safety” currency has finally returned although the market has only reluctantly marched back to the dollar’s printing presses. This year’s first two market swoons sent … Read more

Chart Review: Dollar Close to A Breakout

The U.S. dollar continues to creep slowly but surely upward as the euro steadily sinks week after week. After the dollar survived a plunge below the 200DMA that I thought marked the decisive end of its previous relief rally, the currency has faithfully followed its 50-day moving average (DMA) to higher ground. On Wednesday, the … Read more

Chart Review: Dollar Index Surges Back Above the 200 AND 50DMAs

Surprise! The dollar’s relief rally is not quite over as I had suspected last Thursday (October 27) when the dollar plunged with resounding force below its 200-day moving average (DMA). On Monday, the dollar index surged back above its 200DMA as all of last week’s booming enthusiasm over a deal on Greek sovereign dealt rapidly … Read more

Yen Intervention Just As Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends and Gold’s “Bubble” Unpops

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar was one of last week’s biggest losers during a very bullish week. As I have chronicled for several weeks now, the market’s bullish signals continue to grow. With … Read more

T2108 Update – October 31, 2011 (Revenge of the VIX)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 82% (sixth day of … Read more