T2108 Update (October 30, 2015) – Post-Fed Momentum Quickly Stalls, Underlying Momentum Fades

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF Fails Its First Post-Breakout Test

The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) finally broke out above resistance from its downtrending 50-day moving average (DMA) on Wednesday, October 28th. This was the same day as the Federal Reserve’s October decision on monetary policy. Unfortunately, the breakout failed its first test as it stopped cold right at the low of the “Clinton Bash” … Read more

U.S. Dollar Stalls Even As Odds For January Rate Hike Firm

The market wasted no time. Within two days, currency markets reversed all the losses the euro (FXE) suffered in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s October decision on monetary policy. In that decision, the Fed cleverly crafted words to convince the market that its first rate hike is indeed imminent. With renewed signs of strength … Read more

Financial Markets Welcome the Fed’s Focus On Its First Rate Hike With Important Breakouts

The U.S. Federal Reserve released its latest decision on monetary policy and left interest rates unchanged. There was of course no surprise there. However, the very mention of a future rate hike was treated like new news: Fed holds rates near zero, but signals possible hike "at its next meeting" https://t.co/vF4pOxlo9p — WSJ Breaking News … Read more

T2108 Update (October 27, 2015) – A Red Flag for the Stock Market Ahead of the Fed

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 23, 2015) – An Inspired Market Breakout Yet Still Not Overbought

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 22, 2015) – A Euro-Inspired Reversal Day

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 21, 2015) – A Stock Market Close Enough to Overbought?

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Mysterious Plunge in Eros International

On October 13, 2015, Eros International, Plc (EROS), a major distributor and producer of Indian entertainment, held its inaugural Investor Day. The stock has been plunging ever since. Source: FreeStockCharts.com I have been tracking this stock ever more closely since the first big drop. I enjoy Bollywood flicks, Bhangra, and Indian pop music, so I … Read more

T2108 Update (October 19, 2015) – Ending the August Angst With An Exclamation Point

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more