The Swiss Franc Quietly Returns to Early 2013 Levels

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) In August, 2011, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) took a series of extreme measures to attempt to arrest an accelerating strengthening in the Swiss franc (FXB). These measures culminated in establishing … Read more

A Trader’s Perspective on Switzerland’s “Save Our Swiss Gold” Referendum

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The euro (FXE) versus the Swiss franc (FXF) currency pair has dropped steadily all year on its way to a rendezvous against the 1.20 floor: Since the end of the financial … Read more

Quietly the Swiss Franc Presses the Swiss National Bank’s Nerves Again

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Suddenly, the Swiss franc (FXF) is nearing the 1.20 floor against the euro again. Almost three months ago, I thought the Swiss franc was hurtling toward a retest of the longstanding … Read more

Forex Setup Week (August 17, 2014): Return of the Franc

Last week’s edition of Forex Setup Week featured three major trends: a looming breakdown in the British pound (FXB), a fresh 200-day moving average (DMA) breakout for the U.S. dollar over the Canadian dollar (FXC), and a resilient Australian dollar. The British pound did indeed fail its critical test against the U.S. dollar and broke … Read more

Forex Chart Review: The Power of 50 – Carving Out A Large Swath Of Key Pivots?

Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches … Read more

Swiss National Bank Decreases Inflation Forecast, Sees Increased Real Estate Risks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) As expected, in its December monetary policy assessment, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left its target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at 0.0 to 0.25% and reaffirmed its commitment to … Read more

Take A Pause From Your Deflation Fears and Consider Some Counter-Evidence

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss franc (FXF) has started another weakening phase, putting an exclamation point on the currency market’s refusal to go along with the shrill, recent headlines claiming another deflation cycle has … Read more

Week of Major Currency Shifts Flips Me Bullish Australian and British Currencies

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The market seemed to convulse on the notion that the Fed could actually end asset purchases but seemed to ignore the conditional of a much improved labor market and improving … Read more

The Franc’s Weakening Should Continue Against the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Two weeks ago, I wrote “Time To Short The Franc… With The Euro” as a trading call that combined the likely continued strength in the euro (FXE) and the likely continued … Read more

Time to Short the Franc…With the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss franc (FXF) has had a floor against the euro (FXE) set at 1.20 for about 15 months. During that time, there was a stretch of about five months where … Read more