Above the 40 (April 16, 2018) – The Stock Market’s Unseen Bullish Breakout Awaiting Confirmation

AT40 = 55.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The buyers went right back to work after bears engulfed the end of trading last week. The indices crept higher on the … Read more

Above the 40 (April 13, 2018) – The Bears Engulf An Otherwise Uplifting Week for the Stock Market

AT40 = 45.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 44.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.4 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) gained 2.0% for the week. Yet the week felt like a loser given the way it ended. The … Read more

Above the 40 (April 6, 2018) – Barbarians Posturing At the S&P 500’s Support

AT40 = 37.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 40.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary via GIPHY The week ended badly with a 2.2% drop in the S&P 500 (SPY). The week began with the exact same … Read more

Above the 40 (April 2, 2018) – Chipping Away At the Market Positives On the Way to Oversold

AT40 = 27.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 36.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 2-year closing and intraday lows) VIX = 23.6 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary In my last Above the 40, I tried to highlight the positives even as the negatives … Read more

Above the 40 (March 29, 2018) – A Stock Market Bent Out of Shape But Not Quite Broken

AT40 = 38.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 42.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 20.0 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The bears did their best to spook the market, but they failed to break it down. The foundations felt wobbly for most … Read more

Above the 40 (March 27, 2018) – Source of Funds Trading Action

AT40 = 31.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 39.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 22.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The market from another planet continues to wobble wildly on its axis. Today was the day for investors to make more withdrawals … Read more

Above the 40 (March 26, 2018) – Buyers Buoy the Stock Market

AT40 = 35.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (jumped from 25.6%) AT200 = 43.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up from 2-year closing low at 37.5%) VIX = 21.0 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary This is truly a market that is from another planet. In my … Read more

Above the 40 (March 23, 2018) – A Stock Market From Another Planet: Yet Another Oversold Test Looms

AT40 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 37.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-year closing low) VIX = 24.9 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary On Friday, President Trump characterized the pre-Trump stock market as something “from another planet.” Surely he meant the last … Read more

Above the 40 (March 19, 2018) – A Sharp Edge Cuts A Churning Stock Market

AT40 = 42.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (traded as low as 37.6%) AT200 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 19.0 (traded as high as 21.9) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary In my last Above the 40 post, I described how the stock … Read more

Above the 40 (March 16, 2018) – The Stock Market Stumbles Back to A Sharp Edge

AT40 = 49.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.8 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Another proclamation on monetary policy from the Federal Reserve is just 3 trading days away. Hanging in the balance is the S&P … Read more