Above the 40 (April 11, 2017) – The Stock Market’s Persistent Yet Uncomfortable Bullish Divergence

AT40 = 54.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 64.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.1 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (notable caveats explained below) Commentary The stock market has become incrementally more dangerous, yet buyers and bulls continue to succeed … Read more

Above the 40 (April 7, 2017) – An Incrementally More Dangerous Stock Market

AT40 = 46.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 62.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.9 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (notable caveats explained below) Commentary The timetable for a May end to this period of extremely low volatility looks like … Read more

Eyeing the Stock Market Disconnect As Optimism Keeps Blocking Bears

Nice Save Bears have taken numerous shots yet the bulls have consistently blocked them all. The S&P 500 (SPY) is barely off its all-time highs and has survived all number of setbacks. These setbacks seem to get more and more shallow. Monday, April 3rd, 2017 delivered another classic example. The morning began with very convincing … Read more

Above the 40 (March 31, 2017) – Synched Junctures In Financial Markets As A Bullish Divergence Tries to Shine

AT40 = 49.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (see caveats below) Commentary On Thursday, March 30 (2017), the S&P 500 (SPY) closed above its downtrending 20-day moving average … Read more

Above the 40 (March 28, 2017) – The S&P 500 Follows Through In Bullish Form

AT40 = 41.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.5 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I switched the short-term trading call from bearish to neutral just in time. The follow-through to yesterday’s setup … Read more