Above the 40 (March 6, 2017) – SNAP to Reality

AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 65.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.2 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Here we go again. Divergence is rearing its head again and bringing a dose of reality to the setup for … Read more

Traders Return to the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three weeks ago, I was clearly premature in declaring an “ominous sentiment shift” in the Australian dollar (FXA). Since then, speculators have buckled down and returned to growing net long positions … Read more

The Australian Dollar Defies the RBA’s Easing Bias

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 3, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kicked off central bank action for August with a rate cut to a fresh record low of 1.50%. Financial markets were anticipating a cut with … Read more

The Australian Dollar Remains Resilient Despite Soaring Odds for a Rate Cut

Global bond yields are falling like rocks, many investors are paying governments to hold their money, and odds are increasing for more monetary accommodation from the major economies in the likes of the United Kingdom, the eurozone, and Japan. In the U.S., expectations for a rate cut have essentially been moved off the table. So, … Read more

How to Trade the Surprising Post-Brexit Strength of the Australian Dollar

As the smoke started to clear from Friday’s post-Brexit carnage, one currency rose particularly well from the ashes: the Australian dollar (FXA). For example, against the U.S. dollar, the Aussie bounced perfectly off support at its 200-day moving average (DMA) and even maintained its earlier 50DMA breakout. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD traded around 0.76 around the … Read more