ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 11, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The panic in the British pound (FXB) became unmistakable last week as the currency experienced a flash crash. {snip} The presumed driver of the rush to sell soon after the close … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Traders have gotten quite bullish on the U.S. dollar. Reuters reported that bullish bets on the U.S. dollar have reached an 11-month high: {snip} This critical juncture for the dollar … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Most of the clues required for the British pound’s direction for 2013 are contained in the Bank of England’s last Inflation Report back on November 14, 2012. The British pound enjoyed … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week I discussed trading in the Swiss franc (FXF) in the wake of Credit Suisse’s implementation of negative interest rates for large cash balances denoted in Swiss Francs (see “Cash … Read more
On Tuesday (February 28), the British pound finally broke out against the U.S. dollar with a resounding surge above its 200-day moving average (200DMA). The struggle to break this resistance lasted the entire month of February. Despite this technical breakthrough, I remain skeptical that the British pound will deliver much follow-through before faltering again. Indeed, … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 15, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ever since the Bank of England announced more quantitative easing in the form of £75B of more bond buying, the British pound has bottomed and rallied against the U.S. dollar and … Read more
The British pound has been on a fascinating and very bullish ride versus the U.S. dollar. On Thursday, the pound accentuated its action by perfectly tagging the lower part of its bullish channel directly above support at the 200-day moving average (DMA). (Click for larger view) Source: dailyfx.com charts (click for larger view) I redrew … Read more
The Bank of England (BoE) released its “Inflation Report” on November 11, 2009. This was my first time ever reviewing the report and watching BoE Governor Mervyn King in action as he coolly parried with reporters during the press conference covering the report. The latest Inflation Report frequently references the benefits of the depreciation of … Read more
Moments like these remind me how swiftly the tides can change in foreign exchange. The minutes from the Bank of England’s meeting in October showed that all members now support leaving quantitative easing at its current level of 175 billion pounds. This unified support marks a change in particular for Governor Mervyn King who earlier … Read more
“That rebalancing of the UK economy that I have been talking about for about 10 years, is very necessary. I think the fall in the exchange rate that we have seen will be helpful to that process but there’s no doubt that what we need to see now is a shift of resources into net … Read more