ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I last wrote about Twitter (TWTR) three months ago to conclude that the “crescendo top” in the stock was confirmed and to review the importance of sentiment in determining the fate … Read more
When Nomura upgraded Twitter (TWTR) on May 28th to a “buy” with a $43 price target, the subsequent bounce that sent the stock up 10.7% on the day had all the appearances of a convincing bottom. The stock had previously drifted lower for two weeks to create a “soft” retest of all-time lows. Earlier analyst … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote is from a piece I wrote in early March titled “Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails To Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In The Stock.” At that time, I was wringing … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 6, 2014, the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) had snatched up $14B worth of its own stock following January’s post-earnings sell-off: $12B in an accelerated buyback and … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
Today (June 6th), I FINALLY closed out my long-standing short position in Facebook (FB), leaving one solitary put to capture what might remain of the current distribution process of the stock by eager sellers (I announced the trade on twitter using the #120trade hashtag). This time delivered a fascinating ride and required an exercise in … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 14th, I wrote my reasons for believing that a bottom for gold would prove elusive. At the time, I was thinking gold (GLD) could experience a new extended phase … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) During the height of the banking crisis in Cyprus, I figured gold (GLD) would be a good trade. That lasted for all of a few days. {snip} I have seen some … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Monday evening, February 11, 2013, Bernstein downgraded Facebook (FB) from Outperform to Market Perform. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com In the downgrade, Bernstein cited concerns over ad pricing, revenue growth and valuation. … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more