ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Once again, traders overlooked another strong economic report from Canada. This time the strong report came in the form of GDP growth. The distracting event was a tremendous plunge in oil … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 1, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Part of the thesis for my on-going bearishness on the Canadian dollar versus the U.S. dollar (FXC) has included the apparent dampening of exports by a (previously) stubbornly strong Canadian dollar. … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, Statistics Canada reported year-over-year GDP growth of 2.0% for August, 2013 which beat analyst expectations of 1.7%. This growth translated into a 0.3% month-over-month increase. July delivered 0.6% growth … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Time to swivel heads around on the Australian dollar (FXA) yet again. In “Australian Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends With The Latest RBA Meeting Minutes,” I concluded that the Reserve Bank of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 17th, the Bank of Canada decided to leave interest rates unchanged. In its Monetary Policy Report Summary, the Bank of Canada extended out its forecast to mid-2015 as the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) When it comes to the Australian dollar (FXA), traders have to stay nimble and on their toes. Just two days ago in “Poor Employment Report Only Slows Australian Dollar’s Breakout,” I … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 31, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week’s U.S. GDP print (advance estimate, revisions to come) came in slightly stronger than expected with an annualized growth rate of 2.0%. Financial markets had relatively muted reactions. The S&P … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 28, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The British pound (FXB) was falling fast going into last week’s GDP number. The pound even broke through support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). It seemed like momentum was setting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Tuesday night, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a surprise jump in GDP of 1.3% quarter-over-quarter. With growing fears of a global economic slowdown, analyst consensus had pegged growth only … Read more
It seems the market is adjusting to the high potential on Friday morning for a significant revision to second quarter U.S. GDP. The consensus forecast appears to be a revision from 2.4% to 1.4% with a “whisper” number as low as 1.0% “anecdotally” based on watching and reading various bearish pundits. Since failing to break … Read more