T2108 Update (December 18, 2013) – Upside Resolution Redux As Fed Rolls Out A Sample-Sized Tapering

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 11, 2013) – Upside Resolution Quickly Dissolves Into A Mix Possibilities

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

The Euro’s Resilience Is the Dollar’s Weakness

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 24, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) When I saw the Wednesday (October 23, 2013) headlines screaming that European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi indicated he had no hesitation about failing banks in upcoming, comprehensive stress tests, … Read more

Time to Watch the Forex Action Unfold: React, Not Anticipate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a week since the Federal Reserve surprised the globe when it backed off from its earlier tough talk about bond tapering. The U.S. dollar index (UUP) plunged in … Read more

The Dollar’s Underwhelming Week Was Consistent With On-Going Trading Range

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week was supposed to be a dramatic week with a whole host of pronouncements from the world’s major central banks, the aftermath of the Jackson Hole confab, and major economic … Read more

Market Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar’s Latest Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ordinarily, I would have called Wednesday’s (July 10, 2013) close on the S&P 500 (SPY) a stalemate that potentially signals a reversal in fortunes for the index. The flat close occurred … Read more

Forex Falllout From the Fed’s Latest Decision On Monetary Policy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The Federal Reserve announcement sounded a bit like something former governor Mervyn King might say about the prospects for the Bank of England’s bond purchase program: {snip} I imagine believers … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Is Losing Its Risk Appeal

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.6% on Tuesday (August 27th) as follow-through selling from the previous day overtook the index. Rising tensions between the U.S. and Syria are providing the catalyst … Read more