The U.S. Dollar Is Losing Its Risk Appeal

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.6% on Tuesday (August 27th) as follow-through selling from the previous day overtook the index. Rising tensions between the U.S. and Syria are providing the catalyst … Read more

This May Is Not Likely To Hurt – But Just In Case, Here Are Some Hedging Ideas

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) 1965 to 1967 1969 to 1971 1981 to 1984 1998 to 2000 2010 to 2012 Since 1950, these are the ONLY years where the S&P 500 (SPY) finished the month of … Read more

T2108 Update (May 14, 2013) – Surge Continues As Shorts Continue Suffering from Target Practice

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Pound vs Euro – Debt Downgrade Vs GDP Downgrade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Shortly after U.S. trading closed on Friday, February 22nd, Moody’s downgraded UK debt one notch from Aaa to Aa1 with a stable outlook. This downgrade is a natural extension of the … Read more

Cyprus: Low Volatility and Risky Plans

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} While it is still far from clear that the risky bailout plan for Cyprus will pass the country’s legislative body – a vote that was scheduled for Sunday has been … Read more

T2108 Update (February 25, 2013) – Bearish Signals Converge Into A Flashpoint (includes a forex update)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Where the Pound Has Fallen, the Euro Should Soon Follow

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of England (BoE) released its latest Inflation Report last week (February 13, 2013). During his remarks and responses to questions, Mervyn King again explained how the current and expected … Read more

The Franc’s Weakening Should Continue Against the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Two weeks ago, I wrote “Time To Short The Franc… With The Euro” as a trading call that combined the likely continued strength in the euro (FXE) and the likely continued … Read more

Time to Short the Franc…With the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss franc (FXF) has had a floor against the euro (FXE) set at 1.20 for about 15 months. During that time, there was a stretch of about five months where … Read more

T2108 Update (January 2, 2013) – Like 2012, 2013 Begins Overbought But Trading Implications Are More Complex This Time

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more