ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 27, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Amazon.com’s (AMZN) last three earnings cycles were quite challenging for the AMZN post-earnings trade. As a reminder, the AMZN post-earnings strategy is simply to buy the post-earnings open and hold for … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Another Amazon.com (AMZN) earnings call, more unimpressive guidance (this time, Q1 guidance for $15.0 to 16.6B revenue below expectations and for operating income -$285 to 65M around expectations), an immediate … Read more
It is time for Apple (AAPL) earnings again, but this time around I did not have a chance to update my price-based analysis. Last time around (October 25, 2012), AAPL dropped a mere 0.9% post-earnings after bouncing off the 200DMA for the first re-test since November, 2011. The stock eventually proceeded to continue a strong … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Amazon.com post-earnings trade ended down for this final quarter of the year. It was a rare miss that included some important moves in the stock. The chart below shows the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “If Amazon were an ordinary company, investors would long ago have strapped its management to a rocket ship and sent it far, far away.” From “Amazon and Its Admirers Shrug Off … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Apple (AAPL) re-opened for after-hours, post-earnings trading, I could tell the reaction would be mild when the stock barely dropped below $600 and immediately bounced. {snip} Regardless, anywhere around current … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Google (GOOG) GOOG was a stock that had a lot of momentum off the summer lows although it still trailed the NASDAQ (QQQ) year-to-date. Ironically, GOOG finally caught up to … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) While expectations generally remain extremely bullish for Apple (AAPL) – {snip} – the short-term price action going into earnings does not reflect that bullishness. Since last printing all-time closing highs just … Read more
Google (GOOG) reports earnings tonight (October 18th). I ran out of time for running my “earnings trade template,” but I wanted to take a few minutes to post some interesting observations on GOOG options. These may become good references for the next round of earnings. (See “Chipotle Bears Ready For Another Poor Earnings Performance But … Read more