ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s V-shaped recovery finished reversing most of the losses from the August calamity. Small caps are once again the laggards. During this recovery the market swung from recessions fears to recession relief. The prospects for interest rate cuts no longer seemed to matter on either side of the V-shape. The … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Flying on the wings of an AI (artificial intelligence) gold rush, the NASDAQ may have delivered the swan song for its bear market. The latest rush of buying, sent the NASDAQ above its bear market line for the first time since last August. The path to this breakthrough was fraught with yet … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: What was quiet in the prior week is now loud and clear. Led by the NASDAQ, the stock market is in breakout mode. While market breadth is not quite endorsing the move, key breakouts are showing up in the indices and individual stocks. The inability of sellers to take advantage of bad … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: The recession that Wall Street wants remains elusive according to the August jobs report. The data show the labor participation rate increased with job growth and a minimal increase in the unemployment rate: a recipe for the (mythical?) economic soft landing. The reaction in the stock market reflected the duality in interpreting … Read more
Stock Market Commentary It was a close call. The technical deterioration of the previous week put the Santa rally in peril. At the start of trading last week, the Grinch roasted Santa enough to ignite oversold trading conditions. Santa’s revenge came in the form of a sharp rebound out of the 1-day oversold period. Subsequently, … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (changed from neutral) Stock Market Commentary It feels surreal to write about the latest machinations … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Right on the heels of proposing to acquire Riverbed Technologies (RVBD) for $19/share, Elliott Management made fresh waves with a plan to restructure Juniper Networks (JNPR). Elliott calculates that its proposal … Read more
Earnings season is creating its usual spectacle of fascinating charts. Here is a sample of the ones catching my eye right now: Breakdowns Cisco Systems (CSCO) On August 16th, CSCO jumped 9.6% in response to a positive earnings report. CSCO has yet to make any progress since then. On Wednesday, the stock confirmed its breakdown … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months without … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 9, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Juniper Networks (JNPR) is suddenly plunging again. In three days, JNPR has lost 17% and is retesting November’s lows. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Over this same period, rival Cisco Systems (CSCO) has essentially … Read more