A Case for News Sensitivity and Unreliable Liquidity As Early Warning Signs from Markets

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 16, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Central bankers continue to warn financial markets to properly price in risk. On March 13th, Chris Salmon, the Executive Director of Markets at the Bank of England (BoE) continued the … Read more

Carney Delivers A Buying Opportunity in the British Pound With Talk Of “Evolving Guidance”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 27, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) “Escape velocity won’t come cheap.” – Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England (BoE), January 24, 2014 This was Governor Carney’s warning to the audience at the Davos CBI British … Read more

The British Pound Is A Bargain

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Traders have gotten quite bullish on the U.S. dollar. Reuters reported that bullish bets on the U.S. dollar have reached an 11-month high: {snip} This critical juncture for the dollar … Read more

Pound Continues to Push Higher As Carney Fails to Rein In Bond Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In last week’s Inflation Report, Bank of England governor Mark Carney tried his best to spin the good economic data in the United Kingdom as evidence that interest rates need to … Read more

Surging U.S. Dollar and Carney Overwhelm Bullish Underpinnings for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 8, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week was a great week of economic news for the United Kingdom. The apparent economic improvement seems to be unfolding just as Mervyn King seemed to suggest in his final … Read more

Pound vs Euro – Debt Downgrade Vs GDP Downgrade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Shortly after U.S. trading closed on Friday, February 22nd, Moody’s downgraded UK debt one notch from Aaa to Aa1 with a stable outlook. This downgrade is a natural extension of the … Read more

The Bank of England Stares Down A Conundrum On Inflation

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 8, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 7th, The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England (BoE) decided once again to peg interest rates at 0.5%. The projections and explanations for inflation most interested … Read more

2013 Forex Outlook: More of the Same for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Most of the clues required for the British pound’s direction for 2013 are contained in the Bank of England’s last Inflation Report back on November 14, 2012. The British pound enjoyed … Read more

Stronger Take Home Pay and A Productivity Puzzle Tug on the U.K.’s Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of England’s latest Inflation Report (August 8th) included two items that I found particularly interesting: The Bank of England (BoE) expects the squeeze in take home pay in the … Read more

British Pound Surges Into Resistance – Buy Dips As Government and Bank of England Try To Ease Credit Crunch

After failing to to topple over the 1.56 level over the past week, the British pound finally made a major breakthrough today against the U.S. dollar (FXB). This surge takes GBP/USD takes the currency pair right into the teeth of resistance from declining 50 and 200-day moving averages. Source: FreeStockCharts.com I think this resistance will … Read more