Apple’s Important Macro and Forex Calls and Likely Post-Earnings Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Like all companies with extensive international presence, Apple took a hit from the strong dollar (UUP)… {snip} Apple appears to expect continued strength in the U.S. dollar as the company … Read more

Chart Review: As Expected, Apple Fills Post-Earnings Gap – Waiting Now For Bullish Breakout

Apple (AAPL) filled last week’s post-earnings gap in just four days. As discussed in “Apple’s Important Macro And Forex Calls And Likely Post-Earnings Recovery,” AAPL’s historical performance suggested a near certainty that this gap would get filled BEFORE the next earnings report. I gave a 50/50 chance on whether the gap would get filled in … Read more

Apple July Earnings Play Hinges On The Final Days

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) With an increasingly dour macro-economic backdrop, one might expect a very large response to Apple’s July earnings report {snip}… However, the trading action going into Tuesday evening’s earnings report was very … Read more

Chart Review: Back Into Puts As Yelp.com Fails to Establish New Highs

In about one month, Yelp.com (YELP) doubled from its all-time lows to a retest of its all-time highest close. Along the way, Apple (AAPL) made the following announcement on June 11th: “…local search includes information for over 100 million businesses with info cards that offer Yelp ratings, reviews, available deals and photos.” YELP did not … Read more

Chart Review: Apple’s Revenge Part Two

It seems Friday’s stalemate was indeed a demonstration of Apple buyers finally putting up a fight. Apple’s stock is still in a short-term downtrend, but the trading action has been electrifying almost the entire way down. The wild swings and near symmetry of the move downward are the kind of “art” that only a chart … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Buyers Finally Put Up A Fight – For Now

After gaining as much as 55% this year, sellers have peeled Apple (AAPL) back to a year-to-date gain of 31%. Certainly much better than the average stock, but it still represents a large loss from the highs. An index that falls this much from highs is considered to be in a bear market! In my … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Breaks First Critical Support As Downtrend Continues

On Friday, May 4, Apple, Inc. (AAPL) essentially filled its post-earnings gap up. It took another week for AAPL to retest support that had held in the days before earnings. The selling into that test formed a downtrend in April that Apple has yet to shake. This downtrend has been so persistent that Apple has … Read more

Apple Continues Tendency To Reverse Post-Earnings Gains

On Friday, May 4, Apple (AAPL) dropped 2.9% in price and came within 5 points (0.9%) of closing its entire post-earnings gap up from April 25. During Monday’s trading, Apple’s low (at the open) brought the stock within one point of closing the gap. Click image for a larger view… Source: FreeStockCharts.com The post-earnings gap … Read more

The Odds Deliver As Post-Earnings Apple Breaks April’s Downtrend

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ahead of Apple’s (AAPL) earnings on Tuesday, April 24, I wrote the following {snip} I went on to demonstrate the strong relationship between Apple’s average price change two weeks ahead of … Read more

The Odds Favor Big Upside from Apple’s Fiscal 2012 Second Quarter Earnings

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) If recent history has any relevance to the upcoming (and much anticipated) earnings announcement on April 24th from Apple (AAPL), odds favor a very positive reaction the following day. I generally … Read more