From Fragile to Fearless: The Market’s Return to Overbought Territory – The Market Breadth

from fragile to fearless - the market's return to overbought territory

Stock Market Commentary In just three months, the stock market has transformed from fragile to fearless. Friday’s return to overbought territory, on the heels of another jobs report that beat “consensus expectations”, underlined the market’s fearless bullishness. The jobs report made imminent rate cuts even less likely. Along with that prospect, bond yields nudged higher … Read more

Market Calm Shattered – Tariff Shock Hits S&P’s Critical Support – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) confirmed overbought resistance and closed the gap higher from the China trade war ceasefire. This rejection is bearish by itself but support for the indices remains intact.

Stock Market Commentary A market calm emerged thanks to a pause on reciprocal tariffs and then a ceasefire in the US vs China trade war. This market calm shattered as a new tariff shock came in the form of President Trump threatening the European Union (EU) with a 50% tariff while at the same time … Read more

What Happened In the Housing Market – Bear Market Deepened

What Happened to the Housing Market

Housing Market Intro and Summary What happened in the housing market in March, 2025? The bear market deepened for housing related stocks as they fell off the edge of a deeper malaise. Growing economic warfare between the U.S. and the world and the resulting chaos is adding to housing woes along with the usual culprit … Read more

FINALLY, Some Convincing Bear Market Relief – The Market Breadth

FINALLY Some Convincing Bear Market Relief In the Stock Market

Stock Market Commentary After weeks of persistent selling, the stock market finally delivered bear market relief, with all major indices posting solid gains to end the week. Market breadth notably improved, signaling a shift in buying power that could indicate the start of a sustainable low. Note well that a sustainable low is NOT the … Read more

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Alexey Ivanov, https://www.flickr.com/photos/39824826@N08/9705943143)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked ready to follow through on leaving its troubles behind. The S&P 500 even made a new all-time high. Everything seemed to fall apart on Friday. The final release of consumer expectations as measured by the University Michigan confirmed earlier preliminary numbers: inflation expectations soared and consumer sentiment tanked. … Read more